Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19: A Tale of Three Models

URL

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.22.20160341v3.full-text

Authors

Vincent Chin (University of Sydney), John P.A. Ioannidis (Stanford University), Martin A. Tanner (Northwestern University), and Sally Cripps (University of Sydney)

Published Date

December 10, 2020

Key Excerpts

“Objective: To compare the inference regarding the effectiveness of the various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for COVID-19 obtained from different SIR [susceptible-infected-removed] models…

Conclusions: Inferences on effects of NPIs are non-robust and highly sensitive to model specification. Claimed benefits of lockdown appear grossly exaggerated.”

Medium

document

Topics

lockdowns